The
following is my current column in The Jewish Link of Bergen County, in which I
take a closer look at New Jersey’s recent gubernatorial election and look ahead
to Governor Chris Christie’s 2016 presidential prospects.
Shades of Red Amidst A Sea of Blue
By: N. Aaron Troodler, Esq.
As New Jersey voters went to the polls on
Election Day, there were those who questioned whether the race at the top of
the ticket could even be considered a “race.” The gubernatorial contest, which
ordinarily would be replete with intrigue and suspense, was totally devoid of
any drama. The race for governor was, for all intents and purposes, over before
it even began.
Riding a wave of popularity that propelled him to
rock-star-like status, Governor Chris Christie garnered 60 percent of the vote
and easily cruised to a 22-point victory over Democratic State Senator Barbara
Buono. In doing so, Christie became the first Republican in New Jersey in
twenty-five years to get over 50 percent of the vote in a statewide election.
As for Barbara Buono, she found herself in the
unenviable position of being in a political Catch-22. She had virtually no name
recognition and therefore had difficulty raising money, yet without adequate
funds she was unable to boost her profile statewide.
What makes Governor Christie’s colossal win so
remarkable is that he achieved this historic feat in a state where registered
Democrats outnumber Republican voters by a whopping 700,000. Despite the
enrollment advantage that Democrats have in this overwhelmingly “blue state,”
Christie scored an easy victory.
In retrospect, it appears that Christie fared
extremely well among voting groups that tend to favor Democratic candidates,
rather than Republicans.
According to the exit polls, 57 percent of women
voted for Christie, versus just 41 percent for Buono. 21 percent of
African-Americans, a group that traditionally favors Democrats, cast their
ballots for Christie, a noteworthy number considering that when he ran in 2009,
only 9 percent of African-American voters supported him.
In an extraordinary show of support from Hispanic
voters, who typically vote Democratic, Christie got an astounding 50 percent of
the vote.
Christie also did extremely well among
independent and moderate voters, union members, and young voters. Even 33
percent of Democratic voters cast their ballots for the Republican governor.
How did Governor Christie perform so well among
voting groups that customarily back Democrats? How is it that the Republican
candidate turned the gubernatorial contest on its head by running so strong
across the board?
Chris Christie bucked conventional wisdom by very
skillfully and deliberately building a broad bipartisan coalition that swept
him to victory. He successfully cultivated strong relationships and alliances
with various constituent groups that generally tune out Republicans. Christie
masterfully assembled a groundswell of support that was just too much for Buono
to overcome.
It is quite clear that Chris Christie is not your typical
politician. The popular governor is a “tell it like it is,” “say what he
thinks” type of person, and it certainly appears that the overwhelming majority
of New Jersey voters appreciate his outspoken and brash personality and
actually find it refreshing.
In
addition, New Jersey residents cannot forget the fact that Governor Christie
was there for them as they struggled to pick up the pieces after Superstorm
Sandy. The images of a concerned, caring, and courageous Chris Christie
consoling storm victims were extremely powerful and they undoubtedly left an
indelible mark in the hearts and minds of New Jersey voters.
On Election Day, Chris Christie did not just win
a second term as governor; he catapulted to the front of the pack of likely
2016 Republican presidential candidates.
Christie’s record-breaking win sent a loud and
clear message to the national Republican Party that he just may be their guy in
2016. The crossover appeal that he demonstrated in New Jersey may be exactly
what the Republicans are looking for as they struggle to overcome a barrage of
negative publicity relative to the Tea Party movement’s rise within their
ranks.
The recent government shutdown in Washington, DC
adversely impacted the Republican Party’s desperate attempts to get back on
track. Many people placed the blame for the shutdown squarely on the GOP and
the consensus tends to be that the conservative arm of the Republican Party
forced the hand of their congressional leaders and essentially boxed them into
a corner.
With his inimitable style, Chris Christie may be
the cure for what ails the national Republicans. The question is, however,
whether Christie’s unique brand of bipartisanship outreach will resonate with
more conservative voters throughout the nation. It also remains to be seen how
Christie will fare in the context of a national Republican campaign if and when
the ultra-conservatives who may be angling for the GOP presidential nomination,
such as Senators Rand Paul, Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz, try to paint him in a
more liberal light.
With
his celebrity status and widespread appeal, Chris Christie has definitely
claimed his spot on the national stage. The question is how well he will do as
the GOP’s guy in the spotlight.
On Election Day, Chris Christie swept into the
governor’s office for his second term with a powerful mandate that is virtually
unprecedented. The meteoric rise of a Republican governor is something that one
would expect to see in a “red state,” not in an overwhelmingly Democratic “blue
state.” Chris Christie, however, has proven that there can be shades of “red”
amidst a sea of “blue.”
N.
Aaron Troodler is an attorney and a principal
of Paul Revere Public Relations, a public relations and political consulting
firm. Visit him on the Web at
TroodlersTake.blogspot.com, www.PaulReverePR.com, or www.JewishWorldPR.com. You
can also follow him on Twitter: @troodler
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