Friday, January 24, 2014

Traffic Tie-Up On The Way To The White House

The following is my latest column in The Jewish Link of Bergen County, in which I take a look at "Bridgegate" and discuss how it impacts Governor Chris Christie's presidential aspirations:

TRAFFIC TIE-UP ON THE WAY TO THE WHITE HOUSE

By: N. Aaron Troodler, Esq.
 
Chris Christie was virtually coasting to the nation’s capital. With a huge win in November to capture a second term as Governor of New Jersey, Christie turned his attention to the White House and solidified his spot as a front-runner for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination.
 
After showcasing his political prowess with a decisive victory in an overwhelmingly Democratic state, Christie was looking forward to taking his act to the national stage as head of the Republican Governors Association. Things were looking good for Chris Christie.
 
And then, in a stunning turn of events, Governor Christie hit a roadblock on the way to Washington.
 
“Bridegate,” as it has become known, suddenly threatened to derail Christie’s plans. What had been in the news somewhat sporadically since September quickly exploded into a national scandal.
 
Top members of Governor Christie’s administration and inner circle evidently initiated lane closures in Fort Lee near the George Washington Bridge, which caused terrible traffic tie-ups and wreaked havoc on drivers for several days. What made the story so shocking is that the lane closures and the ensuing chaos was an apparent act of political retribution aimed at the Mayor of Fort Lee, a Democrat, who declined to endorse Christie during the Republican governor’s re-election bid.
 
The shocking revelations were initially met with silence from the Governor. When the story broke, Christie abruptly cancelled his public appearances and we did not hear from the Governor all day.
 
The pundits took to the airwaves to opine how Christie could probably never recover from Bridgegate and his presidential stock plummeted. People began drafting his political obituary.
 
And then came word that the Governor was going to hold a press conference the next day to address the recent turn of events.
 
Hordes of reporters, including numerous representatives from national media outlets, descended upon Trenton to witness what was unquestionably the most significant point thus far in Chris Christie’s political career.
 
Saying the wrong thing at this critical juncture could very well mean the end of his presidential aspirations.
 
In a nearly two-hour press conference, during which time he responded to countless questions from reporters, Chris Christie delivered the performance of his career.
 
The normally brash and outspoken Governor was unusually humble and contrite. As he proclaimed that the buck stops with him, Christie apologized profusely for his staff’s actions and for what he termed their “abject stupidity” and “callous indifference.” He announced that he fired his Deputy Chief of Staff, Bridget Kelly, whose “time for some traffic problems in Fort Lee” email was at the center of the storm. He also noted that he ordered his top political aide and former campaign manager, Bill Stepien, to withdraw his name from consideration for chairman of the New Jersey Republican State Committee and to resign his consulting position with the Republican Governors Association. And he issued what seemed to be a heartfelt apology to Fort Lee Mayor Mark Sokolich, the residents of Fort Lee, the members of the State Legislature, and the people of New Jersey.

From a public relations perspective, Chris Christie’s presentation at the press conference was brilliant. In what was a virtuoso performance, Christie seemingly extricated himself from the political abyss and climbed back from the brink of political disaster. People who had written off Christie in the morning were suddenly lauding him in the afternoon.

Yet, at the same time that the Governor was wrapping up his marathon press conference, David Wildstein, a Christie appointee to the Port Authority who was yet another casualty of the scandal, was appearing at a state Assembly hearing to answer questions about his role in Bridgegate. Unfortunately for Christie, Wildstein’s response to each question asked by the lawmakers was identical. “Under advice of my counsel, I reserve the right to remain silent.”

Wildstein’s decision to invoke his Fifth Amendment right against self-incrimination raised a whole new set of questions. The situation was further exacerbated when the U.S. Attorney’s office announced that it would commence an investigation into Bridgegate in collaboration with the FBI. In addition, New Jersey state lawmakers vowed to press forward with subpoenas and hearings into the growing scandal.

Although Governor Christie’s epic encounter with the press helped him dodge the initial bullet, he still faces a barrage of slings and arrows that are being hurled his way.

There are a slew of headlines that continue to hammer away at the Governor. The media, sensing that there may be more to this story, have doggedly delved deeper into Bridgegate with new resolve. Stories are surfacing about other Democratic public officials who were approached by the Christie campaign to endorse his reelection effort, and the “repercussions” that ensued when they declined to support him. Additional stories, such as the possible misuse of Superstorm Sandy funds to produce a tourism ad featuring the Governor and his family, have emerged as well.

Being in the political spotlight is a difficult place to be. Being in the presidential limelight is even more grueling. You are constantly under a microscope and your every move is scrutinized by the press, your political opponents, and the public at large. One misstep could instantly morph into a political free fall that may be beyond repair.

Bridgegate might be that defining moment for Chris Christie. Although he said all the right things at his big press conference and his demeanor was right on target, we have not heard the last of this scandal. There will undoubtedly be more potentially troubling details that will surface and Governor Christie’s future inevitably hangs in the balance.

If the Governor’s claims that he knew nothing about his staff’s decision to tie up traffic at the George Washington Bridge hold true, he may escape from this scandal, albeit a bit damaged. If, however, we learn that he was not entirely forthcoming, the closest Chris Christie may get to the Oval Office is the public tour of the White House that is open to every other ordinary citizen.

Whatever the outcome, the fact is that Chris Christie hit a major traffic tie-up on his way to the White House. Whether or not he can find a way to skillfully circumvent the bottleneck en route to the Beltway remains to be seen.

N. Aaron Troodler is an attorney and a principal of Paul Revere Public Relations, a public relations and political consulting firm. Visit him on the Web at TroodlersTake.blogspot.com, www.PaulReverePR.com, or www.JewishWorldPR.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @troodler
 

Thursday, January 9, 2014

Breaking Out The Presidential Crystal Ball


The following is my latest column in The Jewish Link of Bergen County, in which I take a look ahead to the 2016 presidential race:
 
BREAKING OUT THE PRESIDENTIAL CRYSTAL BALL
 
By: N. Aaron Troodler, Esq.
 
As we bid farewell to 2013 and usher in 2014, it is natural to both reflect on the events of the past year and to take a look ahead to try and ascertain what the coming year has in store for us. However, in political circles, it is not enough to just forecast how things will play out in 2014; instead, people are breaking out their crystal balls and glancing ahead all the way to 2016.
 
Although we just turned the calendar to 2014, it is the presidential election in 2016 that is looming large on the horizon.
 
On the Democratic side, there are a number of names bantered about as possible presidential hopefuls. Yet, there may be just one person who has the ability to turn the race on its head by galvanizing the National Democratic Party and electrifying Democratic voters across the United States.
 
Although she stepped down from her position as Secretary of State eleven months ago, Hillary Clinton remains one of the most intriguing and influential political figures in the United States.
 
With her 2016 presidential plans not yet resolved, the speculation about a possible run by Hillary has dominated the political landscape. Those considering seeking the Democratic nomination for president are essentially hamstrung by the woman whose mere presence in the background is casting a large shadow over the race. If Hillary ultimately decides to run, most, if not all, of the other Democratic presidential aspirants will probably have to seriously consider stepping aside in favor of the presumptive front-runner.
 
With her growing popularity and the sense that she can fend off any of the Republicans who are eyeing a presidential run, Hillary Clinton is in the driver’s seat. If she wants the Democratic nomination for president in 2016, all she needs to do is say the word and it will be like the splitting of the Red Sea – the political waters will part and she very well may have a clear path to her coronation at the Democratic National Convention.
 
For New Jersey voters, one of the early frontrunners on the Republican side hails from our very own backyard.
 
With Governor Chris Christie’s decisive win on Election Day, the murmurs about his presidential possibilities intensified and speculation abounds as to whether or not he will throw his hat into the ring.
 
One indication that Christie’s flirtation with a presidential race may indeed be serious is that The New York Times recently assigned reporter Michael Barbaro to cover Governor Christie with an eye towards a potential 2016 run. After already assigning a reporter to cover Hillary Clinton and her possible presidential campaign, The New York Times’ designation of Barbaro, who was tasked with covering Mayor Michael Bloomberg for the past several years, signifies just how seriously people are taking Chris Christie.
 
To further substantiate the idea that Christie 2016 might become a reality, it is also rumored that the Associated Press is contemplating assigning a reporter to exclusively cover Chris Christie in the not so distant future. At this point, it is quite probable that other media outlets will follow suit.
 
Although the election will not be held until November 8, 2016, that has not stopped the political pundits and the pollsters from trying to handicap the race at this early juncture. Recent polls indicate that if the race was held today, Hillary Clinton and Chris Christie would be running neck and neck.
 
It is worth noting that according to the polls, Hillary would easily beat any of the other Republicans who are contemplating presidential runs, including Congressman and former Republican Vice Presidential candidate Paul Ryan, Senators Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, and Ted Cruz, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush.
 
As far as Chris Christie goes, New Jersey residents appear to have come to terms with the fact that their Governor may leave the State House for the White House.
 
According to a recent Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press Poll, nearly 70% of New Jersey residents believe that Chris Christie is planning to run for president in 2016. Although the rigors of a presidential campaign would inevitably cause Christie to spend a great deal of time away from the Garden State, 67% of New Jersey residents would not be especially bothered if Governor Christie ran.
 
Predicting the future is virtually impossible, but that has not stopped people in the political world from trying to do just that on a regular basis. The political phenomenon of “looking ahead” is quite routine in the world of presidential politics. Although their political predictions are not always accurate, that does not appear to stop people from prophesying what is in store for the presidency.
 
As we move into 2014 and beyond, New Jersey residents will certainly be paying attention to the 2016 presidential race to see what will become of their own Chris Christie. Only time will tell if Christie will make the move from his house in Mendham, New Jersey to that big white house on Pennsylvania Avenue in Washington.
 
N. Aaron Troodler is an attorney and a principal of Paul Revere Public Relations, a public relations and political consulting firm. Visit him on the Web at TroodlersTake.blogspot.com, www.PaulReverePR.com, or www.JewishWorldPR.com. You can also follow him on Twitter: @troodler